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Express Mobile LubeFranchisee Forecast · Tier 1 FSO
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Express Mobile Lube · Tier 1 FSO
Base case
Pick the weather. Same plan, three sets of assumptions. Every number on this page, in the Lab, the statements and the reports follows the one you pick. Click a card.

Working out your numbers…

What these four numbers mean
Covers monthly costs

The first week your revenue is enough to pay that month's running costs (payroll, parts, fuel, royalties, overhead, loan payments). Before it, you are living on your opening cash. Green inside three months of opening; a warning if it never happens inside the plan.

Pays back your cash

The month your cumulative cash flow to you equals what you put in (franchise fee, vehicles, setup, working capital). It counts owner draws and distributions, not loan money. Sooner is better; "after year 5" means the plan does not return your money inside the horizon.

Lowest cash

The worst month-end bank balance in the whole plan and when it lands. If it is under your warning level, that is the month you would need a line of credit, a capital add, or a slower vehicle ramp. This is the single most important number for not running out of money.

Return (IRR)

The annual rate your invested cash earns across the plan, counting the business's harvest value at the end (trailing-12-month EBITDA × your multiple, minus debt). Compare it to what the same money would earn elsewhere; the Lab shows the hurdle rate you set.

From the FDD

What's inside

Nine views of one plan. Open any card; the row below jumps between them. Every section starts with a plain-English guide to what it shows and how to read it.

Overview: how to read it

The plan in one screen: what to fix first, the headline tiles, and the shape of cash over the horizon.

  • Alerts are checked against your plan every time the numbers change. Each one says what, when, how much, and a fix. Mark them seen; they come back if the problem does.
  • Break-even revenue per vehicle is the monthly sales one van must do to cover its share of costs. If your vans run under it, adding vans makes things worse, not better.
  • First 12 months EBITDA is operating profit before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization in year one. Near zero in year one is normal for a ramp; strongly negative means the opening cash has to carry you.
  • The cash curve dips while you ramp, turns at break-even, and climbs as vans mature. The depth of the dip is your real capital need.

Tip. If one thing is wrong, fix the first alert; the plan usually has a single pressure point (ramp speed, vehicle timing, or opening cash).

Alerts

Next 13 weeks and the year ahead

Cash in the bank

60 months from signing · hover for any month
Ending cashMonthly EBITDABelow your warning levelReforecast from your actual months

Five years at a glance

Opening investment

Items 5 and 7

Ongoing fees

Item 6

Item 19: company-owned outlet

Jonesboro, AR · two vans

As disclosed in the 2026 FDD, Item 19. These are one company-owned outlet's results, not a projection for any franchisee. The outlet pays no royalty or brand-fund fees. Results vary. Read the full Item 19, including its notes and assumptions.

Tier 1 FSO, a d/b/a of Tier 1 PPC, LLC · Your own planning assumptions, not a financial performance representation by any franchisor · Results vary